Florida International vs Toledo 12/26/2010

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Toledo is a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat Florida International. Adonis Thomas is projected for 78 rushing yards and a 51% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where Florida International wins, Wesley Carroll averages 1.72 TD passes vs 1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 1.31 interceptions. Darriet Perry averages 47 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Florida International wins and 41 yards and 0.44 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -2 --- Over/Under line is 56

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